Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000102 0.000114 0.000127 0.000142 0.000158 0.000176 0.000197
2024-10-20 0.000085 0.000101 0.000120 0.000142 0.000169 0.000200 0.000238
2024-10-27 0.000073 0.000092 0.000114 0.000143 0.000180 0.000223 0.000281
2024-11-03 0.000063 0.000083 0.000108 0.000141 0.000186 0.000242 0.000319
2024-11-10 0.000056 0.000077 0.000105 0.000144 0.000197 0.000268 0.000369
2024-11-17 0.000049 0.000071 0.000100 0.000143 0.000204 0.000287 0.000411
2024-11-24 0.000045 0.000066 0.000097 0.000143 0.000212 0.000309 0.000460
2024-12-01 0.000040 0.000061 0.000093 0.000142 0.000216 0.000327 0.000502
2024-12-08 0.000036 0.000057 0.000089 0.000140 0.000222 0.000345 0.000547
2024-12-15 0.000033 0.000054 0.000086 0.000140 0.000228 0.000365 0.000596
2024-12-22 0.000030 0.000051 0.000084 0.000140 0.000234 0.000386 0.000648
2024-12-29 0.000028 0.000048 0.000082 0.000141 0.000241 0.000407 0.000703
2025-01-05 0.000026 0.000045 0.000079 0.000139 0.000245 0.000425 0.000755
2025-01-12 0.000024 0.000043 0.000077 0.000140 0.000254 0.000451 0.000822
2025-01-19 0.000022 0.000042 0.000076 0.000141 0.000262 0.000478 0.000895
2025-01-26 0.000020 0.000039 0.000073 0.000139 0.000265 0.000495 0.000950
2025-02-02 0.000019 0.000038 0.000073 0.000142 0.000277 0.000529 0.001040
2025-02-09 0.000018 0.000036 0.000070 0.000141 0.000281 0.000550 0.001106
2025-02-16 0.000017 0.000034 0.000069 0.000141 0.000288 0.000577 0.001187
2025-02-23 0.000015 0.000033 0.000067 0.000140 0.000291 0.000595 0.001252
2025-03-02 0.000014 0.000031 0.000065 0.000138 0.000295 0.000615 0.001324
2025-03-09 0.000013 0.000030 0.000063 0.000138 0.000301 0.000640 0.001405
2025-03-16 0.000013 0.000029 0.000062 0.000138 0.000307 0.000667 0.001494